CoreLogic released its February Home Price Index (HPI) report on April 1 that showed home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased 12.2 percent in February compared to February 2013. This change represents 24 months of consecutive year-over-year increases in home prices nationally.
The property information, analytics and data-enabled services provider found that, on a month-over-month basis, home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased by 0.8 percent in February compared to January.
At the state level, including distressed sales, 14 states showed double-digit year-over-year growth in February, and Colorado, Nebraska, North Dakota, Texas and the District of Columbia all reached new home price highs. Additionally, 22 states were at or within 10 percent of their price peaks.
Excluding distressed sales, home prices nationally increased 10.7 percent in February compared to February 2013 and 0.9 percent month over month compared to January. Also, all 50 states and the District of Columbia showed year-over-year home price appreciation when distressed sales were excluded. Distressed sales include short sales and real estate owned (REO) transactions.
Beginning with the February HPI report, CoreLogic is introducing a new forecast metric that provides an advanced indication of trends in home prices. Individual forecasts, making up the CoreLogic HPI Forecasts, provide forward-looking insight among the various categories of the CoreLogic HPI.
The CoreLogic HPI Forecasts are a monthly forecast built on the CoreLogic HPI and other economic variables. Values are derived from state-level forecasts by weighting indices by the number of owner-occupied households for each state.
Including distressed sales, the forecast indicates that home prices are projected to increase 0.5 percent month over month from February to March. Furthermore, the forecast indicates that home prices, including distressed sales, are expected to increase 10.5 percent year over year from March of last year to this March. Excluding distressed sales, home prices are poised to rise 0.4 percent month over month from February to March and 9.3 percent year over year from March of last year to this March.
“As the spring home-buying season kicks off, house price appreciation continues to be strong,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic. “Although prices should remain strong in the near term due to a short supply of homes on the market, price increases should moderate over the next year as home equity releases pent-up supply.”
“February marks two straight years of year-over-year gains in national prices across the United States,” said Anand Nallathambi, president and chief executive officer of CoreLogic. “The consistent upward movement in home prices should ultimately prove to be an important stimulant for higher levels of sustained market activity and growth in the housing economy.”
Other highlights from the report include:
- Including distressed sales, the five states with the highest home price appreciation were California (+19.8 percent), Nevada (+18.5 percent), Georgia (+14.2 percent), Oregon (+13.8 percent) and Michigan (+13.5 percent).
- Excluding distressed sales, the five states with the highest home price appreciation were California (+15.9 percent), Nevada (+14.6 percent), Florida (+13.1 percent), Washington (+11.5 percent) and Hawaii (+11.5 percent).
- Including distressed transactions, the peak-to-current change in the national HPI (from April 2006 to February) was -16.9 percent. Excluding distressed transactions, the peak-to-current change in the HPI for the same period was -12.1 percent.
- Including or excluding distressed sales, no state posted home price depreciation in February.
- The five states with the largest peak-to-current declines, including distressed transactions, were Nevada (-39.9 percent), Florida (-36.4 percent), Rhode Island (-30.9 percent), Arizona (-30.5 percent) and West Virginia (-26.6 percent).
- Ninety-six of the top 100 Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) measured by population showed year-over-year increases in February. The four CBSAs that did not show an increase were Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, Ark., Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wis., Rochester, N.Y., and Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, Va.-N.C.